24 December, 2009

A thick blanket of snow enveloped Copenhagen


That's hilarious and dramatic at the same time. Europe is covered by a thick and heavy snow and the scaremongers keep annoying us about the inevitable temperature rise of the planet.

Science should depend on accurate and complete data. What is being perpetrated into the climate debate is a load of nonsense. And when facts contradict theory, too bad for reality.  A first hand example from an email between Professor Phil Jones and Michael E. Mann (apparently two gurus in the climate field) :"I've just completed Mike's Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) and from 1961 for Keith's to hide the decline [in temperature]. "
As any ideology, "greenology" is a real stinker and its stench is mistaken for fresh air.

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06 October, 2009

The discontinuity theory

There is a discontinuity point in almost everything we do. Anytime we make a choice we are choosing a different path because we believe that the current course of events would lead us towards a dead-end.
A "quit point", however, is more than just a mere decision point. When you quit, you are saying (and betting): "things are going well now but that won't last long because bla bla..." Bla bla is what substantiates your bet.
Conversely, you also are saying (and betting):"this way is gonna land us bla bla but we are going to slog away for awhile".



Simple question: "why don't you quit when bad things are impending?". Easy answer: "you, your product, your service, your 'whatever you are in' will be off the market by then". You are not the smartest guy in the room.
Second (hard) question: "what do you properly mean by 'quit'?". In order to quit you have to abandon a piece of something to gain a piece of something else.
So what are you waiting for?

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22 September, 2009

"The map is not the territory"

One of the most remarkable concepts about creating a business, is its underlying idea and the process to translate it into reality.
The idea comes from a sharp observation of reality in all its factors, this is called attitude: the most valuable asset of any successful entrepreneur.  Then, the capacity to cut through reality to surface what is truly important to realize and what not (the latter being very tricky, indeed).

Subsequently, the process is made of  strategy and tactics. Deal with the material you face and shape the idea accordingly. Many companies fail because of this lack of realism: great idea, deep observation and an illogical optimism: "It will work!". The majority, however, fail because of a slapdash work on the idea.

A business model is just that: a model. It is not reality. An old cliche proves to be true: "the map is not the territory". Your model must emerge from a strong observation (the extent of demand or the potential to induce it) and be aligned with the tools you have (resources, people, technology).

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23 April, 2009

Good is not enough

Any good manager knows that any project is affected by three forces: Cost, Quality and Schedule.
Any great manager knows that you can actually achieve any two of the three.

Would you have the guts to adamantly ask to who you report to (also a client): "which two do you want?"

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03 November, 2008

US for freedom

The following is (part of) an email we sent to some American friends:

[...]Let me share with you and your family what I think the deepest American needs are and what the political adequate answer is.:

  • Economy/tax.We do not need a state that controls our personal finances, but rather promote them and assure the conditions where we - as a society - can play our part. It's called Welfare Society. In actual fact it means tax release, free market promotion and private property protection. McCain or Obama? No doubts whatsoever, Sir!
  • Life. We do not need a state that intervenes with our personal matters. Life is too important to be manipulated by political ideology. Life comes first, protected and untouchable. Issues like Abortion, Euthanasia are too important to be held in the hands of the state. McCain or Obama? No doubts whatsoever, Sir!
  • Islam We don't need a state that bows down to Islam. They made the first move. They are the ones who hate our liberty, hate our wealth, our capacity to be free and to indulge in this freedom. They hate you because you are American. You as an American, are "infidel" and as such you deserve hell. 9/11 was an example of the very "hell" that they made American's face. McCain or Obama? No doubts whatsoever, Sir!

Let me leave you with a quote that I found expresses the essence of the Republican address:

"Centralized governments may care for you from cradle to grave, but they also control you. Most Americans don't want MORE government -- they want a lot less.Abraham Lincoln reminded us that a government that can do everything FOR us can also take everything FROM us.I really tire of hearing how the Democrats care about the working guy as if all Republicans grew up with silk stockings and silver spoons.I'm not a Republican because I grew up rich, but because I didn't want to spend the rest of my life poor, waiting for the government to rescue me"

Mike Huckabee at the Republican National Convention, September 3, 2008.

God Bless America.

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09 May, 2008

Commercial break /1

First thing: a good product. Well, now some "spice":

1. The pizza maker: just use his spare time going around the tables cheerfully chatting with the diners
2. Location, just adjacent to a top-market restaurant. Top-class people like to break the routine
3. Few outdoor tables, no queue (in/out), no reservation, no ads, no frills: just pizza and some delicious entrees
4. A clear vision: I work for people who can spread the idea. Wow! I will!

That's Lucio Pizzeria in Sydney. It's worth trying it out.

Is it a purple cow? Maybe not, pizza is just an invisible product. But Lucio is on the right track turning a simple pizzeria into a "must-try". I guess people go there dragged by the good pizza and return to share with Lucio his brilliant idea. Friendly.

It'll catch on.

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06 May, 2008

Be consistent, be consistent....

yes, I'm...but I see a huge misunderstanding here.

A plain example: writing communciation. Keep your line of thought consistent, focused and logical. That's it.
I can use a wide range of words to restate some concepts and in doing so I won't be consistent at all because I want to tackle (if it is the case) the concept/issue/whatever from many angles.

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23 April, 2008

The ultimate follower

I was tempted to name this post "In praise of followers"* because this is exactly what I want to outline.
For too long companies made it appear that leadership was the ultimate goal for a successful career, ignoring to nurture followership skills.
Take a look at that article if you are interested to understand the "effective follower"...and take away the following advice: choose a great leader and follow him, sink him in, obey him and be proud of him.
Your life is gonna be easy...nanos gigantum humeris insidentes ("dwarfs standing on the shoulders of giants")

*By Robert E. Kelley, Harvard business review, 66(6), 142 - 148

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15 April, 2008

Il cielo e' di nuovo azzurro

Amo l'Italia, la mia terra, la terra di una grande civilta', dove ogni piccolo buco ha una storia e un richiamo alle nostre radici.
Benvenuta la vittoria del PdL e la completa debacle di quella esiziale frangia comunista che tanto male ha fatto e continua a fare in ogni luogo della terra dove tenta di insediarsi.

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10 April, 2008

Bones and muscles

Fortunately, despite all human flaws, many leaders kicked in. To some extent, it's possible to observe many beneficial traits and reason out some recurrent patterns.

As I see it, a leader is dominated by two main forces: a vast skill set and knowledge and what is called "effective attitude".
The first force is potentially within anybody's grasp.
The latter one is what I generally refer to as the trait without a name. You can't actually create it "from nil". Yet you can pull it out, shape it and ameliorate it (assuming there is something there :-)

In a previous comment I used the bones methaphor, it goes as follow: "being a leader is a matter of bones, if you got them you can put on muscles and coach them."

However, not being a leader is very very convenient...check out the upcoming post.

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08 April, 2008

Leaders for sale

Do you want to know why you'll never see a "true" leader in action? Let's think about the huge amount of material available and try to draw the simplest conclusion.

Who will be so supernatural to incarnate those attitudes? Did you ever deeply read those publications and thought of any possible implication?

Please, now think of a person who shows: passion, vision, delegation, intelligence, realism, listening, decisiveness, flexibility, and so on.
Come on guys, let's be real!

Not to mention who tries to sell and convince that there is a leader in you. You only need practice et voila' you wake up and say: I'm a leader!
Come on guys, don't buy it. It's a gyp.

My conclusion? Well, have you ever thought of that human beings are flawed? Oh yes!, good time then to start and see from a more realistic and human perspective what's going on in here :-)

Stay tuned, new posts on this around the corner.

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08 June, 2007

Free flow of meaning

Trying to define what makes a real project manager, very often we tend to list many characteristics that a leader should have without categorizing them at all.
I came across one of those lists during a course and the first thought that sprang to my mind was: from where do they originate? What lies behind them?
I thought the couple IQ/EQ might be useful here. I’m not pretty convinced about the outright effectiveness of this method for quantifying our intelligence however, we have no valuable alternatives.
Let’s have a look at the following quadrant.


One dimension is EQ (emotional quotient) and the other is IQ (intelligence quotient).
EQ is a measure of how well we can get in contact with people, openly and candidly. It is our personal prosperity that works to advantage for every single person involved in our project. It is easy now to put under this category a bunch of characteristics.
On the other hand, IQ is a measure of how effectively we can critically examine our EQ! It balances our gut instinct with data, figures and realism. It is the attitude to thinking systematically, how much intellectual rigor we apply in working out problems.
Nevertheless, the "free flow of meaning" is not simply the sum of them. It reminds me the concept of holism but let’s stop here :-) -

For my Italian readers, see my previous post on the leadership.

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08 March, 2007

Down Land Under

Based in Sydney, finally. I'll try to get buried here...:-))
Posts are going to be in English.

Really good job!

Wish me luck guys!

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07 February, 2007

Flat Tax

Ne avete mai sentito parlare? Spero proprio di sì. In fondo è un metodo semplice con un significato eco-nomico/logico molto profondo.
Vi racconto un piccolo episodio: qualche mese fa, un ottimo manager e certamente una persona che un po' stimo, entra nel mio ufficio mettendosi alla lavagna e disegnandomi la necessità morale della progressività delle tasse con tanto di curve chiarificatorie e un pathos tale che se non fossi carico di anticorpi, mi avrebbe certamente fatto cadere nella trappola. Mi spiegava che le tasse dovevano seguire la progressività, era un principio morale: chi più guadagna deve essere soggetto ad una tassazione maggiore in maniera progressiva.

Esistono fortunatamente delle alternative altrettanto "morali" e la flat tax credo vi appartenga a pieno titolo. Prima di esporne i concetti basilari però, ritengo utile richiamare l'obiettivo di una sana politica fiscale, obiettivo naturalmente che da molti è bollato come "conservatore", "capitalista", e via appioppando (so bene che anche dall'altro lato gli epiteti non mancano ma, per quanto mi riguarda, sono fuori da queste guerre ideologiche). Dunque credo che obiettivo fondamentale di una sana politica economico-fiscale sia quella di arginare con tutti i mezzi possibili dal mercato il potere dello Stato favorendo una tensione all'equilibrio che nasca dal mercato stesso.
La flat tax è un ottimo sistema di tassazione (anche noto come proporzionalità delle tasse) utile al raggiungimento di questo fine e che, se ben gestita, semplificherebbe in maniera significativa il codice tributario. Infatti aliquote ridotte minimizzano la distorsione dei prezzi operata da un intervento statalista e massimizzano nel contempo gli incentivi individuali.
Proverò semplicemente a descriverne per punti alcune sue peculiarità e rimandando chi volesse approfondire ai riferimenti in coda (e non wikipedia!!!):

  • questo tipo di tassazione si fonda sui principi economici del supply-side e tra questi forse il più importante è quello che riguarda gli incentivi individuali, ovvero il principio secondo il quale lo Stato dovrebbe tendere alla riduzione dell'imposizione fiscale consentendo alle persone di trattenere più soldi e quindi investire di più facendo "girare" l'economia
  • ogni reddito è tassato una sola volta (equality). Questo significa che esiste una sola aliquota che si applica al reddito (si può calibrare questa aliquota per determinare il gettito)
  • esiste una base imponibile da cui partire. Questo è un dato variabile da Paese a Paese
  • l'effettiva tassa da pagare su un aumento di reddito (a partire dalla base imponibile) è quindi proporzionale al reddito. Qualcuno definisce questo fatto come la quintessenza dell'equità
  • ogni reddito è tassato indipendentemente dalla sua sorgente o da come è speso (neutrality).

I vantaggi in semplicità, economicità (abbattendo gli inutili costi di gestione. In America è stato calcolato un aumento del 5% del PIL dovuto alla efficienza della flat-tax) e trasparenza (che indurrebbe a ridurre l'evasione e la corruzione) sono difficilmente confutabili.

E' e rimane comunque un argomento controverso. Per farsene un'idea consiglio le seguenti letture:

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09 December, 2006

Problem vs Solution

Pare che Einstein abbia affermato che occorre il 95% del tempo per definire il problema e il 5% per trovare le soluzioni. Considerando la fonte autorevole e senza voler spaccare il capello in quattro, qualche perplessità di applicazione generale però forse vale la pena affrontare nella perfetta consapevolezza che la definizione esatta del problema (in tutti gli ambiti) è un'attività con un ROI elevatissimo (ma forse non sempre proporzionale al tempo e alle energie impiegate per la sua definizione).
Innanzitutto in termini di costi. E' praticamente impensabile pensare di investire il 95% del tempo e del denaro per definire il problema. Vi sono delle attività ove queste proporzioni sono semplicemente inapplicabili.
Poi credo che vi siano delle soluzioni davvero difficili e che richiedono un proporzionale tempo realizzativo. Trovare ad esempio una giusta architettura ove tutti i termini del problema sono adeguatamente realizzati è un lavoro che ha la sua complessità intrinseca che nessuna percentuale a priori può smorzare.
Empiricamente ciò che Einstein afferma non è riscontrabile sempre (anzi mi piacerebbe meglio definire quegli ambiti ove questo è esattamente vero).
Assolutamente qui non si vuole trascurare l'importanza di una analisi adeguata del problema. Anzi ribadisco con forza il concetto: ciò che ordinariamente si trascura è pensare al problema, al modello del problema e alla sua formalizzazione. Il tempo speso per questa attività non è mai tempo perso.

Non sarebbe forse più realistico mantenere le due attività separate (con i relativi tempi/costi adeguati al dominio) e lasciare il loro rapporto un puro dato di reportistica utile certamente ma non per fare stime a priori?

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